Blog

๐ŸŒ๐ŸŽจ COLOR REVOLUTION SERIES โ€” PART 25 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ SUDAN

๐ŸŒ๐ŸŽจ COLOR REVOLUTION SERIES โ€” PART 31

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ SUDAN

The Sudanese Revolution: Omar al-Bashir, Bread Protests, the December Revolution, Women at the Center of the Uprising, the Fall of the Dictator, the Military Council, the Rapid Support Forces, the Civilian Transition, the 2019 Massacre, the 2021 Coup, and Sudan's Descent Into Civil War

By Greg Loucks


Introduction: The Revolution That Overthrew a Dictatorโ€”But Not the Military

Sudan's revolution was one of the most remarkable popular uprisings of the twenty-first century.

It did not begin with a foreign army.

It did not begin with an opposition party taking power.

It did not begin with a military coup.

It began with:

bread

fuel

economic desperation

and eventually:

the demand for freedom.

For nearly thirty years, Sudan had been ruled by:

Omar Hassan al-Bashir

Bashir came to power through a military coup in:

1989

and remained president until:

2019

His government survived international isolation, civil war, economic crises, sanctions, rebellions, and enormous political pressure.

But in December 2018, the situation finally became unsustainable.

Protests erupted over rising bread prices and deteriorating economic conditions.

The demonstrations quickly became much larger than their original economic demands.

The protesters began demanding:

"Tasqut bas!"

Meaning:

"Just fall!"

The target was the entire regime.

The movement became known as:

the Sudanese Revolution

or:

the December Revolution.

Millions of Sudanese participated in demonstrations, strikes, marches, and civil resistance.

Women played an extraordinary role.

One photograph became internationally famous.

A young Sudanese woman standing on top of a car, wearing a white robe and traditional earrings, raised her finger toward the sky while surrounded by protesters.

Her name was:

Alaa Salah

She became known around the world as:

the Nubian queen

and a symbol of the revolution.

Then, on April 11, 2019:

Omar al-Bashir was overthrown.

For the first time in thirty years, Sudan had no Bashir.

But the revolution had not yet won.

The military that removed Bashir wanted to retain power.

A:

Transitional Military Council

was established.

Protesters demanded:

civilian government.

The military resisted.

The two sides reached an agreement.

Then came one of the darkest moments of the revolution.

On June 3, 2019, security forces violently attacked the protest sit-in outside the military headquarters in Khartoum.

The massacre became a defining moment in Sudan's transition.

Eventually, civilian and military leaders agreed to a transitional government.

But the arrangement was unstable.

The military retained enormous power.

Two powerful military organizations existed:

the Sudanese Armed Forces

and:

the Rapid Support Forces.

Their commanders eventually became rivals.

General:

Abdel Fattah al-Burhan

became the leading figure in the regular military.

General:

Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo

better known as:

Hemedti

commanded the Rapid Support Forces.

The civilian transition collapsed in:

2021

when the military seized power again.

And in:

April 2023

the military and the RSF went to war against one another.

Sudan descended into another devastating civil war.

Thus the Sudanese Revolution presents one of the most important questions of the entire series:

What happens when a revolution successfully removes the dictator, but the military remains the most powerful institution in the country?

Sudan's answer was devastating.


๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Chapter 1: Sudan

Sudan is one of Africa's largest countries.

It lies in:

Northeast Africa

and borders:

  • Egypt
  • Libya
  • Chad
  • Central African Republic
  • South Sudan
  • Ethiopia
  • Eritrea

It also has a coastline on:

the Red Sea.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 2: Sudan's Strategic Location

Sudan sits between:

North Africa

and

Sub-Saharan Africa.

It also sits between:

the Arab world

and

the African continent.


๐ŸŒŠ Chapter 3: The Nile

The Nile River is central to Sudanese civilization.

Two major rivers meet at:

Khartoum

where the:

White Nile

and:

Blue Nile

come together.


๐Ÿ™๏ธ Chapter 4: Khartoum

Khartoum is the capital of Sudan.

It became the political center of the country.


๐Ÿบ Chapter 5: Ancient Nubia

Sudan has an extraordinarily ancient history.

The region was home to:

Nubian civilizations

and the ancient kingdoms of:

Kush

and:

Meroรซ


๐Ÿ‘‘ Chapter 6: The Kingdom of Kush

Kush became one of the great civilizations of the ancient Nile Valley.

At one point, Kushite rulers controlled Egypt.


๐Ÿบ Chapter 7: Meroรซ

The city of:

Meroรซ

became an important center of the Kushite kingdom.

Its pyramids remain among Sudan's most recognizable archaeological sites.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 8: Arab and African Influences

Over centuries, Sudan developed a complex mixture of:

  • African identities
  • Arab identities
  • Islamic traditions
  • Indigenous cultures
  • Tribal identities
  • Regional identities

โ˜ช๏ธ Chapter 9: Islam

Islam became the dominant religion across much of northern Sudan.


๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ Chapter 10: Diversity

Sudan has never been culturally or ethnically uniform.

This became extremely important in its political history.


๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Chapter 11: British-Egyptian Rule

Sudan was governed through an Anglo-Egyptian condominium beginning in:

1899


๐Ÿง  Chapter 12: Colonial Rule

British and Egyptian influence shaped Sudan's political and economic institutions.


๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Chapter 13: Independence

Sudan became independent on:

January 1, 1956.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 14: Independence Does Not Mean Stability

Sudan's new state immediately faced major challenges.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 15: North and South

Political and cultural divisions between northern and southern Sudan were profound.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 16: First Civil War

A major civil war had already begun before independence and continued afterward.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 17: Military Coups

Sudan experienced repeated military interventions in politics.


๐Ÿ‘ค Chapter 18: Jaafar Nimeiri

In:

1969

Colonel:

Jaafar Nimeiri

seized power.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 19: Nimeiri's Rule

Nimeiri initially pursued socialist policies.

Later, he moved increasingly toward political Islam.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 20: Southern Conflict

The conflict between north and south continued.


๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ Chapter 21: Addis Ababa Agreement

In 1972, an agreement temporarily ended the first major phase of the civil war.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 22: The Peace Breaks Down

The settlement eventually collapsed.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 23: Sharia

In 1983, Nimeiri imposed Islamic law across Sudan.

This intensified tensions with southern Sudan.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 24: Second Sudanese Civil War

The conflict resumed.


๐Ÿง‘ Chapter 25: John Garang

The:

Sudan People's Liberation Army

or:

SPLA

was led by:

John Garang


๐Ÿง  Chapter 26: The SPLA

The movement fought against the government in Khartoum.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 27: Another Coup

In 1985, Nimeiri was overthrown.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 28: Civilian Government

A short-lived democratic period followed.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 29: Political Instability

The civilian government struggled to resolve the war and economic crisis.


๐Ÿช– Chapter 30: Omar al-Bashir

Then came:

1989


โš ๏ธ Chapter 31: The Coup

Omar al-Bashir and allied officers overthrew the civilian government.


๐Ÿ‘ค Chapter 32: Bashir Takes Power

Bashir became the dominant political figure in Sudan.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 33: National Islamic Front

Bashir's government was closely associated with the:

National Islamic Front

and Islamist politician:

Hassan al-Turabi.


๐Ÿ•Œ Chapter 34: Political Islam

Sudan became one of the most prominent examples of an Islamist-oriented government in the Arab and African worlds.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 35: Bashir and Turabi

For a time, Turabi was one of the most powerful political figures in Sudan.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 36: The Alliance Breaks

Eventually Bashir and Turabi became rivals.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 37: Consolidation

Bashir increasingly centralized power around himself.


๐Ÿ›๏ธ Chapter 38: Authoritarian Rule

Political opposition was heavily restricted.


๐Ÿ‘ฎ Chapter 39: Security Services

The government developed powerful intelligence and security institutions.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 40: Political Prisoners

Opposition figures were arrested and detained.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 41: International Isolation

Sudan became increasingly isolated internationally.


๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Chapter 42: United States

The United States imposed extensive sanctions on Sudan.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 43: Terrorism Designation

Sudan was designated by the United States as a state sponsor of terrorism for many years.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 44: Osama bin Laden

One of the most controversial periods of Bashir's rule involved:

Osama bin Laden

who lived in Sudan during the 1990s.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 45: International Pressure

The presence of bin Laden contributed to Sudan's international isolation.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 46: Expulsion

Bin Laden eventually left Sudan.

But Sudan's international reputation remained deeply damaged.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 47: Civil War

Meanwhile, Sudan's civil war continued.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 48: The Cost of War

Millions of Sudanese were displaced.


๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ Chapter 49: Southern Sudan

The southern conflict became one of the world's longest-running civil wars.


๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ Chapter 50: Comprehensive Peace Agreement

In 2005, the government and southern rebels reached a major peace agreement.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 51: South Sudan

The agreement ultimately led to a referendum.


๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ Chapter 52: Independence

In:

2011

South Sudan became independent.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 53: A New Country

South Sudan became the world's newest country at the time.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 54: Sudan Loses Oil

But independence came at a massive cost to Sudan.

Much of the former unified country's oil production was located in the south.


๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Chapter 55: Oil Revenue

Sudan's government lost an enormous source of revenue.


๐Ÿ“‰ Chapter 56: Economic Crisis

The economy deteriorated.


๐Ÿ’ฐ Chapter 57: Inflation

Prices increased.


โ›ฝ Chapter 58: Fuel

Fuel subsidies became increasingly expensive for the government.


๐Ÿž Chapter 59: Bread

Bread prices became politically explosive.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 60: The Economic Pressure Cooker

By 2018, Sudan was facing:

  • Inflation
  • Currency depreciation
  • Fuel shortages
  • Bread shortages
  • Unemployment
  • Poverty
  • Corruption

๐ŸŒ Chapter 61: The Arab Spring Legacy

Sudanese activists had watched what happened in:

  • Tunisia
  • Egypt
  • Libya
  • Yemen
  • Syria

The idea that ordinary people could overthrow authoritarian governments remained powerful.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 62: The Spark

In December 2018, the government removed subsidies and bread prices rose sharply.


โœŠ Chapter 63: Protests Begin

Demonstrations began in:

Atbara


๐Ÿ™๏ธ Chapter 64: Atbara

Atbara was known for its railway and labor history.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 65: The Protest Spreads

The demonstrations quickly expanded to other cities.


๐Ÿ™๏ธ Chapter 66: Khartoum

Eventually protesters flooded into the capital.


โœŠ Chapter 67: The Demand Changes

The initial demand was:

bread

But the movement quickly became:

"the people want the fall of the regime."


๐Ÿง  Chapter 68: Tasqut Bas

The slogan:

"Tasqut bas!"

became one of the defining phrases of the revolution.

It means:

"Just fall!"


๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ Chapter 69: Youth

Young Sudanese were at the center of the uprising.


๐Ÿ‘ฉ Chapter 70: Women

Women played an enormous role.


๐Ÿง• Chapter 71: Women in the Revolution

Women participated in:

  • Demonstrations
  • Organizing
  • Medical assistance
  • Singing
  • Political activism
  • Social media
  • Civil resistance

๐Ÿง  Chapter 72: A Different Image of Sudanese Women

The revolution challenged stereotypes about women in Sudanese society.


๐Ÿ‘‘ Chapter 73: Alaa Salah

Then came:

Alaa Salah


๐Ÿ“ธ Chapter 74: The Photograph

A photograph of Salah standing above a crowd became one of the most recognizable images of the revolution.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 75: The White Thobe

She wore a traditional white Sudanese garment known as a:

thobe


๐Ÿ‘‘ Chapter 76: The Symbol

Salah became internationally known as:

the Nubian queen


๐Ÿง  Chapter 77: The Meaning

Her image became a symbol of:

women

youth

Sudanese identity

and:

revolution.


โœŠ Chapter 78: The Sit-In

Protesters eventually established a massive sit-in outside:

the Sudanese Armed Forces headquarters

in Khartoum.


๐Ÿ•๏ธ Chapter 79: The Sit-In Becomes a City

The protest camp became more than a demonstration.

It became a miniature political community.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 80: Protest Infrastructure

People organized:

  • Food
  • Medical care
  • Security
  • Music
  • Political discussions
  • Cleaning
  • Communications

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Chapter 81: A New Sudan

Inside the sit-in, protesters began imagining what a post-Bashir Sudan could look like.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 82: The Military Watches

The military increasingly faced a choice:

protect Bashir

or

remove Bashir.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 83: The Military's Dilemma

Bashir's government was becoming impossible to defend politically.


๐Ÿช– Chapter 84: April 2019

On April 11:

Omar al-Bashir was overthrown.


๐ŸŽ‰ Chapter 85: Celebration

Crowds celebrated in the streets.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 86: The Dictator Is Gone

Bashir's thirty-year rule was over.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 87: But the Military Remains

The military itself had not been overthrown.

It had:

removed the president.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 88: The Critical Distinction

This distinction would determine Sudan's future.

The revolution had defeated:

Bashir

but not:

the military establishment.


๐Ÿ›๏ธ Chapter 89: Transitional Military Council

The military established:

the Transitional Military Council

or:

TMC


๐Ÿ‘ค Chapter 90: Abdel Fattah al-Burhan

General:

Abdel Fattah al-Burhan

became the leading figure of the military council.


๐Ÿ‘ค Chapter 91: Hemedti

Another enormously powerful military figure was:

Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo

known as:

Hemedti


๐Ÿช– Chapter 92: Rapid Support Forces

Hemedti commanded the:

Rapid Support Forces

or:

RSF


๐Ÿง  Chapter 93: The RSF's Origins

The RSF emerged from the:

Janjaweed

militias associated with the Darfur conflict.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 94: Darfur

To understand Hemedti, we have to understand:

Darfur.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 95: Darfur

Darfur is a region in western Sudan.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 96: Darfur War

Beginning in 2003, rebellion erupted against the Bashir government.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 97: Government Response

The government supported Arab militias to fight the rebellion.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 98: Janjaweed

The militias became known internationally as:

Janjaweed


๐Ÿง  Chapter 99: Atrocities

The conflict produced mass killings, displacement, rape, and destruction.


โš–๏ธ Chapter 100: International Criminal Court

The International Criminal Court eventually accused Bashir of:

genocide

as well as:

war crimes

and:

crimes against humanity

in relation to Darfur.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 101: Bashir's International Status

Bashir became one of the world's most internationally notorious leaders.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 102: The Irony

The man accused of atrocities in Darfur was eventually overthrown by a military establishment that included men whose forces had emerged from the same broader security system.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 103: The Revolution's Problem

The revolution had removed Bashir.

But many of the people who had served under Bashir remained powerful.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 104: The Protesters Know

The protesters understood this.

Their message became:

"We removed the head. We must remove the system."


โœŠ Chapter 105: Civilian Rule

Protesters demanded:

civilian government.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 106: The Military Refuses

The military wanted to retain political power.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 107: Negotiations

Talks between civilian representatives and the military dragged on.


๐Ÿ•๏ธ Chapter 108: The Sit-In Continues

Protesters remained outside military headquarters.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 109: June 3, 2019

Security forces attacked the sit-in.


๐Ÿ’ฅ Chapter 110: The Khartoum Massacre

Large numbers of protesters were killed.

Bodies were thrown into the Nile according to witness accounts and investigations.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 111: The Message

The attack sent a horrifying message:

The military would use force to preserve power.


โœŠ Chapter 112: Civil Disobedience

The revolution responded with:

mass civil disobedience.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 113: Strikes

Workers and activists organized strikes.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 114: International Pressure

International pressure increased.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 115: African Union

The African Union played an important role in mediation.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 116: Ethiopian Mediation

Ethiopia also became involved in efforts to facilitate negotiations.


๐Ÿค Chapter 117: The Transition Agreement

Eventually, the military and civilian groups agreed to a transitional arrangement.


๐Ÿ›๏ธ Chapter 118: Sovereignty Council

A:

Sovereignty Council

was created.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 119: Shared Power

The council was designed to include military and civilian representatives.


๐Ÿ‘ค Chapter 120: Abdalla Hamdok

Economist:

Abdalla Hamdok

became prime minister.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 121: The Hope

For a time, Sudan appeared to be moving toward:

democratic civilian government.


๐ŸŽ‰ Chapter 122: International Optimism

Sudan's transition was celebrated internationally.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 123: The Problem

The military still possessed:

  • Weapons
  • Money
  • Security forces
  • Business interests
  • Political influence

โš ๏ธ Chapter 124: Two Militaries

Sudan had something especially dangerous:

two powerful armed organizations.


๐Ÿช– Chapter 125: The Sudanese Armed Forces

The:

SAF

was the country's regular military.


๐Ÿช– Chapter 126: The Rapid Support Forces

The:

RSF

was a separate powerful paramilitary organization.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 127: Two Commanders

SAF:

Burhan

RSF:

Hemedti


โš ๏ธ Chapter 128: The Transition's Time Bomb

Both men wanted power.

Both controlled armed forces.

Both had economic interests.

And neither was willing to become subordinate to the other.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 129: Security Sector Reform

The transition required integrating the RSF into the regular military.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 130: The Deadline Problem

The two sides disagreed over:

how quickly

and:

under whose authority

the RSF would be integrated.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 131: The Military Coup

In October 2021:

Burhan and the military seized power.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 132: The Transition Collapses

Civilian leaders were detained.

The transitional arrangement was effectively broken.


โœŠ Chapter 133: Protesters Return

Sudanese protesters returned to the streets.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 134: The Revolution Continues

The revolution that had removed Bashir now turned against:

the military itself.


๐Ÿชง Chapter 135: "No Negotiation"

A major protest slogan became:

"No negotiation, no partnership, no legitimacy."


๐Ÿง  Chapter 136: The Meaning

The protesters rejected military rule.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 137: The Political Deadlock

Sudan became trapped between:

military rulers

and:

civilian protesters.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 138: The Two Generals

Meanwhile, Burhan and Hemedti were becoming increasingly hostile toward each other.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 139: April 2023

The rivalry finally exploded.


๐Ÿ’ฅ Chapter 140: Civil War

Fighting erupted between:

the Sudanese Armed Forces

and:

the Rapid Support Forces.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 141: The Revolution's Final Tragedy

The movement that had demanded:

civilian government

now watched Sudan descend into:

war between the military factions that had overthrown Bashir.


๐Ÿ™๏ธ Chapter 142: Khartoum

The capital became a major battlefield.


โš”๏ธ Chapter 143: Urban Warfare

Heavy weapons were used inside densely populated areas.


๐Ÿš๏ธ Chapter 144: Destruction

Buildings were destroyed.

Hospitals were damaged.

Infrastructure collapsed.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 145: The RSF Expands

The RSF captured large areas of territory.


๐Ÿช– Chapter 146: Darfur Again

The conflict returned with particular brutality to Darfur.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 147: Ethnic Violence

Communities experienced killings, displacement, and atrocities.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 148: The Ghost of Darfur

The horrors of the early 2000s returned.


๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ Chapter 149: Displacement

Millions of Sudanese were forced from their homes.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 150: Refugees

Many fled into:

  • Chad
  • Egypt
  • South Sudan
  • Ethiopia
  • Other neighboring countries

๐Ÿง  Chapter 151: The Humanitarian Crisis

Sudan became one of the world's largest displacement crises.


๐Ÿž Chapter 152: Hunger

Food systems collapsed in many areas.


๐Ÿง’ Chapter 153: Children

Children faced:

  • Hunger
  • Disease
  • Displacement
  • Loss of education
  • Family separation

๐Ÿฅ Chapter 154: Healthcare

The health system was devastated.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 155: Famine

Parts of Sudan experienced catastrophic levels of food insecurity.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 156: The International Response

Foreign governments attempted mediation.


๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ Chapter 157: Jeddah Talks

Saudi Arabia and the United States helped facilitate negotiations.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 158: Ceasefires

Multiple ceasefires were announced.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 159: The Problem

Many ceasefires failed.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 160: Why?

Because neither side trusted the other.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 161: Foreign Support

The war also became increasingly internationalized.


๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Chapter 162: Egypt

Egypt maintained close ties with the Sudanese military.


๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Chapter 163: United Arab Emirates

The UAE became widely accused of providing support to the RSF, allegations Abu Dhabi has denied.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 164: Regional Interests

The UAE has significant interests in:

  • Red Sea security
  • Gold
  • Agriculture
  • Ports
  • Regional influence

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Chapter 165: Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia has pursued mediation and has strategic interests in Sudan and the Red Sea.


๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Chapter 166: Russia

Russia has also sought influence in Sudan, particularly through relationships involving gold and potential Red Sea access.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 167: The Red Sea Again

Sudan's coastline makes the conflict strategically important to:

  • Egypt
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Iran
  • Russia
  • Western powers

๐ŸŒ Chapter 168: The African Dimension

Sudan's conflict also affects:

  • Chad
  • South Sudan
  • Ethiopia
  • Libya
  • Central African Republic

๐Ÿง  Chapter 169: A Regional Crisis

Sudan's war therefore threatens to destabilize an enormous portion of northeast Africa.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 170: The Revolution's Transformation

The sequence is extraordinary:

Economic protest

โ†“

Mass uprising

โ†“

Dictator overthrown

โ†“

Military takeover

โ†“

Civilian transition

โ†“

Military coup

โ†“

Military rivalry

โ†“

Civil war


๐Ÿง  Chapter 171: Sudan Compared With Egypt

The comparison with Egypt is especially important.

Egypt:

The military removes the president and retains control.

Sudan:

The military removes the president and then fights among itself.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 172: Sudan Compared With Libya

Libya:

The dictator falls and multiple militias compete.

Sudan:

The dictator falls and two major military organizations compete.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 173: Sudan Compared With Yemen

Yemen:

The dictator leaves, but his political network survives.

Sudan:

The dictator falls, but his military-security system survives.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 174: Sudan Compared With Syria

Syria:

The dictator remains in power for thirteen years before collapsing.

Sudan:

The dictator falls quickly, but the military system survives and eventually destroys the transition.


๐ŸŒ Chapter 175: Five Arab Spring Outcomes

The pattern now becomes even clearer.

Tunisia

Transition

Egypt

Military Restoration

Libya

State Collapse

Syria

Civil War โ†’ Regime Collapse

Yemen

Fragmentation

Sudan

Military Rivalry โ†’ Civil War


๐Ÿง  Chapter 176: The Military Question

Across all these revolutions, one question repeatedly determines the outcome:

What does the military do?


๐Ÿง  Chapter 177: Tunisia

The military abandoned Ben Ali.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 178: Egypt

The military removed Mubarak and retained power.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 179: Libya

The military fractured.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 180: Syria

The military largely remained loyal to Assad.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 181: Yemen

The military fragmented among competing political factions.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 182: Sudan

Two powerful military organizations eventually fought each other.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 183: The Military Is Often the Kingmaker

A dictator may appear to be the most powerful person in the country.

But often:

the military decides whether the dictator survives.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 184: Bashir's Fall

Bashir was not removed by the protesters alone.

The military ultimately decided:

Bashir had to go.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 185: But the Military's Motive

The military did not necessarily overthrow Bashir because it wanted democracy.

It may have calculated that:

Bashir had become a threat to the survival of the broader system.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 186: Regime Change Versus System Change

This distinction is critical.

Regime change

means:

the leader changes.

System change

means:

the underlying political structure changes.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 187: Sudan

The protesters wanted:

system change.

The military initially offered:

leadership change.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 188: The Revolution's Second Phase

Once Bashir fell, the revolution entered its most important phase:

civilian versus military.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 189: The Protesters' Mistake?

It would be unfair to say the protesters "failed."

They achieved something extraordinary.

They removed a dictator who had ruled for thirty years.

The problem was:

they did not control the institutions that replaced him.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 190: The Institution Problem

The military controlled:

  • Weapons
  • Security
  • Infrastructure
  • Economic assets
  • Armed personnel

The civilian movement controlled:

  • Streets
  • Public legitimacy
  • Labor unions
  • Professional associations
  • Civil society

๐Ÿง  Chapter 191: Two Kinds of Power

The revolution had:

popular power.

The military had:

coercive power.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 192: The Confrontation

The entire transition became a struggle between those two forms of power.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 193: Civil Resistance

Sudanese protesters demonstrated the enormous power of:

mass nonviolent resistance.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 194: But Nonviolence Has Limits

A movement can fill the streets.

It can shut down the economy.

It can delegitimize a government.

But if armed institutions refuse to surrender power:

the movement still needs a mechanism for transferring authority.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 195: The 2019 Agreement

The compromise attempted to create that mechanism.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 196: The Fatal Weakness

The military remained too powerful.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 197: The Dual-Authority Problem

Sudan effectively had:

civilian government

and:

military government

operating simultaneously.


โš ๏ธ Chapter 198: The Coup

The 2021 coup destroyed the transition.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 199: The Final Breakdown

Once Burhan and Hemedti turned against each other, the political system became irrelevant.

The dispute was now decided by:

weapons.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 200: The Ultimate Lesson

Sudan demonstrates:

A revolution can win the streets and still lose the state.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 201: Another Lesson

It demonstrates:

Removing a dictator is only the first stage of democratization.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 202: Another

It demonstrates:

A military transition is not necessarily a democratic transition.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 203: Another

It demonstrates:

Two armed institutions inside one state can be more dangerous than one dictatorship.


๐Ÿง  Chapter 204: Another

And it demonstrates:

When political disputes cannot be resolved institutionally, armed factions eventually resolve them militarily.


Conclusion: The Revolution That Could Not Escape the Military

The Sudanese Revolution was extraordinary.

It began with bread.

It became a movement for freedom.

Millions of people participated.

Women became central leaders and symbols.

Young people filled the streets.

Workers went on strike.

The protest camps became communities.

The world watched.

And eventually:

Omar al-Bashir fell.

Thirty years of authoritarian rule ended.

But the protesters knew something important.

They had not won simply because Bashir was gone.

The military remained.

The security services remained.

The RSF remained.

The old economic networks remained.

The old political structures remained.

And so the revolution continued.

The protesters demanded:

civilian rule.

The military demanded:

control.

The compromise of 2019 produced a fragile transitional government.

For a brief moment, Sudan seemed to be moving toward democracy.

Then the military seized power again.

And the revolution entered its darkest phase.

Burhan and Hemedti became rivals.

The SAF and RSF prepared for war.

In April 2023, the war began.

Khartoum became a battlefield.

Darfur once again experienced horrific violence.

Millions fled.

Food supplies collapsed.

Hospitals collapsed.

Famine threatened.

The country that had once inspired the world with images of peaceful revolution was now suffering one of the world's greatest humanitarian disasters.

And this produces one of the most important lessons of the entire Color Revolution series:

A dictator can be overthrown without the dictatorship's power structure being destroyed.

Bashir left.

But the military remained.

And when the civilian transition failed, the military did not peacefully surrender power.

It fought.

Sudan therefore demonstrates the difference between:

overthrowing a ruler

and:

transforming a political system.

The Sudanese people accomplished the first.

They have yet to fully accomplish the second.

And that is why Sudan belongs in this series.

It is not simply a story about a dictator.

It is a story about:

who controls the state after the dictator falls.

The answer, for Sudan, became increasingly tragic:

the men with the guns.

And the next chapter takes us to another country where an authoritarian ruler faced mass protestsโ€”but where the revolutionary movement had an entirely different relationship with the military.

This time, the uprising would emerge in:

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ ALGERIA

where an elderly president who had ruled for two decades attempted to seek a fifth term.

The people would say:

"No to the fifth mandate."

And what followed would become known as:

the Algerian Hirak.


๐ŸŒ๐ŸŽจ NEXT โ€” PART 32

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ ALGERIA

The Algerian Hirak: Abdelaziz Bouteflika, the Fifth Term, Mass Demonstrations, the Legacy of the Black Decade, the Military, "Yetnahaw Ga3," and the Revolution That Removed a President Without Destroying the State

The next chapter will examine:

  • French colonial Algeria
  • The war of independence
  • Ahmed Ben Bella
  • Houari Boumรฉdiรจne
  • Military rule
  • Chadli Bendjedid
  • The 1988 riots
  • The rise of the Islamic Salvation Front
  • The 1990s civil war
  • The "Black Decade"
  • Abdelaziz Bouteflika
  • The 1999 election
  • Oil wealth
  • Bouteflika's long presidency
  • His illness
  • The fifth-term announcement
  • The February 2019 protests
  • Algerian women
  • The Hirak
  • Millions in the streets
  • The role of students
  • The military
  • General Ahmed Gaid Salah
  • Bouteflika's resignation
  • "Yetnahaw Ga3"
  • The 2019 presidential election
  • Abdelmadjid Tebboune
  • The continuing Hirak
  • COVID-19
  • The military's political role
  • And the central question:

Why did Algeria's revolution succeed in removing the presidentโ€”but fail to completely dismantle the political system behind him?

Related Articles

Free Joomla templates by Ltheme